The map shows the decline of the coronavirus in Europe


Each week, ECDC publishes a map on its Twitter which colors countries based on the prevalence of coronavirus infections. The positive trend of recent weeks continued to be reflected in last week’s data, with the outbreak decreasing in line with the seasonal pattern.

The map released on April 21 shows this:

A week earlier, on April 14, the map still looked like this:

ECDC notes that areas with a testing rate of less than 600 per 100,000 population are shown in grey. For this reason, Hungary is now gray on the map.

The weekly average for COVID-19 tests in Hungary fell to 5,851 on Wednesday from 9,214 a week earlier. The pandemic is definitely receding, but it’s not gone and experts warn it will be back in the fall. Given the track record of the Hungarian authorities, it cannot be expected that effective preparations will be made to avoid unnecessary infections and deaths. But maybe five “waves” were enough to draw the right conclusions. We wouldn’t bet on that, though.

Given the extremely low number of tests performed, even longer term averages and/or their ratios cannot be used as good indicators.

Hungary now has more than 46,000 Covid deathswhich ensures the country the fourth place in the world in terms of deaths per million inhabitants, or the third place if we disregard Bosnia and Herzegovina with a small population of 3.24 million inhabitants.

Here is a comparison of the number of COVID-19 cases and deaths for two waves with a difference of 12 months.

Here is a table with the data that really matters (deaths, hospitalized and ventilated patients) for 2022 only. Despite our best efforts to mitigate the volatility caused by official reporting practices (i.e. authorities not logging Covid numbers on weekends and public holidays), there are still some zigzags there -low.

The two graphs below show the same ratio only for different periods.

And finally, the key week-to-week shifts in the 7-day averages that smooth the daily volatility numbers would cause and are meant to appear when a trend begins to reverse.

Cover photo: Getty Images

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