With a night of 2-0, I return to my winning form. Watching the Los Angeles / Minnesota game, I realized how the Sparks manage to play such a fierce defense: they constantly smear the other team’s shit. This is an objective fact, not an opinion. Of course, the head coach Derek fisher deserves credit for making his team play with tremendous energy, trapping and never letting an opposing ball handler feel comfortable. But he also has the merit of having followed the philosophy of Georgetown Hoyas at the beginning of the 80s: to bet on the referees not to be able to call five faults at a time. If I had a nickel for every reach missed thirty-five feet from the basket and a dime for every miss missed, I could make up for the games I lost on Friday.
Four games on the program today, including two heavyweight fights. Continue reading …
Seattle O’Sullivan so far: 22-13
Seattle Storm at Connecticut Sun, 2 p.m. EDT
The choice : Seattle ML (-215)
The two best current teams in the league, by their records, and the current leaders of both conferences. The best that the WNBA has to offer is in today’s Seattle / Connecticut game. Except for one thing: Sunshine Superstar and WNBA MVP favorite. Jonquel jones will not play. Jones left to play for Bosnia and Herzegovina at this year’s Eurobasket tournament. Connecticut has experience playing without Jones (she chose not to play during COVID last season), but it’s a blow. The Sun can also be without before DeWanna Bonner, who suffers from a lower back injury. Connecticut was already up 7.7 points less per game than Seattle (89.1 vs. 81.4), and the absence of the two front row players is sure to hurt their top defense. Even with more than a week of rest, the Sun will be retrograde. (grimaces) I’m sorry I did that, and not just because as Google informs me, âFrom the point of view of the sun, no planet ever has retrograde motionâ¦â This is the horrible joke, not the inaccurate information, which shames me …
Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream, 3:30 p.m. EDT
The choice : Atlanta +3.5 (-105)
Domestic dog alert! Domestic dog alert! (Yes I know Connecticut also a domestic dog – but the “retrograde sun” thing (oh, whatever). Washington has won two in a row, while Atlanta has lost four in a row. As always, pay attention to where and to whom the Dream suffered these losses: in Minnesota and at home in Seattle. I think Atlanta will be anxious to get rid of this chain. The two teams are so different, so I’m going to take the points at home.
Dallas Wings at Las Vegas Aces, 6 p.m. EDT
The choice : Dallas +7.5 (-112), O 169.5 (-110)
AT me, it’s also a heavyweight clash, as anyone who’s read me over the past week should understand. I think Dallas is knocking on the door of the elite WNBA. This is the perfect opportunity to prove it, playing at the home of an elite team. Las Vegas is an offensive powerhouse: most points per game in the league (89.7), highest offensive rating (107.0). But Dallas is just behind: third in points per game (86.3) and fourth in offensive odds (104.0). Aces shoot a higher percentage, 47.9% to 42.6%, but Wings shoot better from 3.35.4% to 34.3%. Dallas has an advantage on the boards, winning the rpg match 39.5-35.8; Las Vegas flips the ball fewer times, 11.0 to 13.9. The Wings are on a three-game winning streak, while the Aces have had a week off. I think Las Vegas is the better team, but unless the Aces head coach Bill laimbeer reads Bettors Insider, he probably underestimates the Wings like everyone else. 7.5 points is a lot, none of Dallas’ losses have gone over 7 and they know they can play with the WNBA fee. I think it will be a great game with a lot of goals.
New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury, 6 p.m. EDT
The choice : New York +5.5 (-110), Phoenix ML (-245)
The more I dwell on it, the more I realize that the three main things that have infuriated me in my life are: 1. DANCES WITH WOLVES winning the “Best Picture” award against GOODFELLAS at the Oscars in 1991 , 2. The Phoenix Mercury’s lackluster performance against the Dallas Wings on Friday, and 3. People stopping at the top of the escalators. I mean, I’m a reasonable player, but Phoenix’s effort against Dallas was maddening – damn it, here is where I should have used the “backslid” joke. Okay, new list: 1. My failure to use the …
Forget it. Anyway. New York has the highest percentage of 3 (41.4%) and is attempting the second highest number in the league. They have the third highest FG percentage (43.8). At no point in Friday’s game between Dallas and Phoenix did I say, “Ooh, a solid Phoenix defense!” The Liberties have lost three games in a row, but two of those games were against the Sun and the Aces, they had a week off, and they’re probably still confident they can keep pace with the Sun now that Jones will be. absent. Both teams are at least .500 but have negative point differentials. Both teams seem to think they’re better than they are. In other words, neither of these teams is GOODFELLAS, and neither deserves a 5.5 point favor. I will take Phoenix to win but New York with the points, for an “average” choice which could prove to be a great stroke of finesse but will most likely be the equivalent of stopping at the top of an escalator, and me. fill with self-loathing.